Intrinsic Value Calculation:
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The Alpha Spread represents the percentage difference between a stock's intrinsic value and its current market price. A positive spread suggests potential undervaluation, while a negative spread may indicate overvaluation.
The calculator uses either DCF or Multiples model to determine intrinsic value:
Where:
Explanation: The spread measures the potential margin of safety or overvaluation relative to your calculated intrinsic value.
Details: Intrinsic value represents the true worth of an asset based on fundamental analysis, helping investors make informed decisions regardless of market fluctuations.
Tips: Select your valuation model, enter the current market price and your calculated intrinsic value. The calculator will determine the percentage spread between these values.
Q1: Which model is better - DCF or Multiples?
A: DCF is more comprehensive but requires more assumptions. Multiples are simpler but depend on comparable companies. Many analysts use both.
Q2: What's a good alpha spread?
A: This depends on your risk tolerance. Typically, a 20-30% positive spread provides a margin of safety, but this varies by industry.
Q3: How often should I recalculate intrinsic value?
A: Quarterly with earnings reports, or whenever there are material changes to the company's fundamentals or market conditions.
Q4: What are limitations of intrinsic value?
A: All models are based on assumptions that may not hold true. Market prices can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
Q5: Should I only buy stocks with positive alpha spread?
A: While helpful, alpha spread should be one factor among many in your investment decision process.